Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.410142 0.453043 0.499095 0.552303 0.612199 0.677672 0.754836
2025-06-15 0.342950 0.402728 0.471611 0.557266 0.661486 0.784893 0.943134
2025-06-22 0.298392 0.364583 0.444472 0.548791 0.682576 0.849959 1.077696
2025-06-29 0.267299 0.337088 0.424509 0.543285 0.702348 0.910704 1.208769
2025-07-06 0.236330 0.305734 0.395331 0.521086 0.695631 0.933215 1.287846
2025-07-13 0.221487 0.293526 0.389220 0.527783 0.726875 1.008221 1.446176
2025-07-20 0.208674 0.282599 0.383364 0.533459 0.756074 1.081766 1.609069
2025-07-27 0.197566 0.272900 0.378042 0.538807 0.784395 1.155599 1.779422
2025-08-03 0.187010 0.263020 0.371425 0.541222 0.807817 1.223249 1.946447
2025-08-10 0.178402 0.255222 0.367049 0.546277 0.835184 1.298865 2.134326
2025-08-17 0.166331 0.241404 0.352603 0.534353 0.834021 1.327398 2.243466
2025-08-24 0.159980 0.235741 0.350044 0.540804 0.863033 1.408349 2.454460
2025-08-31 0.151371 0.226201 0.341032 0.536426 0.874032 1.460350 2.620529
2025-09-07 0.145329 0.220289 0.337336 0.540501 0.899829 1.540892 2.851309
2025-09-14 0.137278 0.210658 0.326965 0.532365 0.903130 1.580424 3.005351
2025-09-21 0.130472 0.202616 0.318646 0.527047 0.910847 1.628541 3.182440
2025-09-28 0.121151 0.189935 0.301855 0.505613 0.886960 1.613682 3.224348
2025-10-05 0.117655 0.186713 0.300771 0.512080 0.915917 1.704720 3.507513
2025-10-12 0.114217 0.183377 0.299251 0.517561 0.943301 1.795089 3.801394
2025-10-19 0.110947 0.180132 0.297661 0.522724 0.970371 1.887314 4.112378
2025-10-26 0.107428 0.176258 0.294711 0.525055 0.991842 1.969685 4.411417
2025-11-02 0.104516 0.173283 0.293174 0.529935 1.018850 2.066620 4.760629
2025-11-09 0.099365 0.166084 0.283582 0.518423 1.010575 2.084339 4.909923